Hackett Poised to Win a Third Term As Mayor

 

By STEVE KORNACKI

PoliticsNJ.com

May 5 - They have the makings of a pretty interesting mayor's race in OrangeOn paper at least.

With Mims Hackett, a two-term incumbent who doubles as an assemblyman from the 27th District, being challenged by Betty Brown, the woman he bested in the last mayor's contest, there is a definite revenge
subplot.

And the revenge theme actually extends to competitive environment of Essex County Democratic politics: Hackett stood with Thomas P. Giblin in the Democratic primary for county executive two years ago, while Brown backed Joseph N. DiVincenzo, Jr., who won that race.

DiVincenzo's victory enabled Brown to take control of Orange's Democratic committee. 

When Brown, who currently holds a county position, launched her mayoral campaign this year, many observers believed she would be aided by DiVincenzo's political organization, and that the county executive would repay his old ally by helping her win the city's top post.

But less than a week before voters from the 32,000-resident township just outside Newark cast their ballots, the contest has apparently failed to attract much interest -- both from local residents and countywide political players.

"There's not much going on, which is good news for Hackett," said one Democratic operative familiar with Orange.

While next Tuesday's vote is technically a non-partisan election, the nomenclature really doesn't make a difference: Democrats outnumber Republican by a 13-to-one margin in Orange, a city whose population is 75 percent African-American, and with rare exceptions, municipal candidates are always Democrats.

Not only does the apparent voter apathy -- in recent statewide elections, Orange had the lowest voter turnout rate of the twelve municipalities in the 27th Legislative District -- work in Hackett's favor, but he is also aided by having two opponents, which could split up whatever anti-incumbent sentiment exists.

The third candidate is Roger Monel, an aide to a former Orange mayor who has worked in the private sector in recent years.  He has raised less money than Hackett and Brown and is not seen as a threat to win.

The problem for Brown appears to be that the money and muscle she was counting on to carry her campaign has simply never materialized.

For instance, when she ran in 2000, several key players, including attorney Michael Critchley, a Democratic donor, aided her in her fund-raising.

This time around, the money isn't there.

Brown reported a balance of about $6,500 in her last ELEC report, which was filed three weeks ago.  At the time, she had raised just over $16,000 during the entire campaign.

Meanwhile, thanks to his incumbency and legislative position, Hackett has amassed a formidable war chest: The mayor reported having more than $56,000 in his account last month, and raising more than $300,000 since the last election.

The other piece of the puzzle Brown may have been banking on was DiVincenzo and his political operation.

But the county executive, according to numerous Democrats at the city and county level, has kept his distance from Brown, and even tried to talk her out of running.

Party insiders say there are two reasons DiVincenzo hasn't embraced the woman who organized Orange for him two years ago: He didn't think she could win; and he didn't want to upset state Senate President Richard J. Codey (D-West Orange), who represents the 27th District and with whom Hackett is closely aligned.

'This time, she thought she had Joe D., but I think he went south on her," explained one Essex County Democrat.   "I don't think he even wanted her to run, because he wants to keep peace with Codey and others."

Hackett said he hasn't seen any signs that DiVincenzo has taken a role in the race.  In fact, he said, the county executive actually sought him out early in the campaign to distance himself from Brown.

"He said, 'I has nothing to do with Betty running,' recalled Hackett.  "I said, 'Yeah.  OK.'  I just didn't want to get into any of that."

Without big money or DiVincenzo's help, Brown is left with just two weapons for her campaign, each of questionable value: her chairmanship of the city's Democratic committee and her favored ballot position (Brown won the A-1 spot, with Hackett in the A-2 position).

She became chairman of the Democratic committee after candidates running on DiVincenzo's slate triumphed in the '02 primary.  That prompted Hackett, who was chairman at the time and aligned with Giblin, not to seek another term as party chief.

But Hackett predicted Brown wouldn't get much benefit from her own organization in this year's race.

"I think it's falling apart...She didn't even get elected to the county committee...She lost her district by a two-to-one margin.  She was chosen to be the chair, after she supported the DiVincenzo slate," the mayor said.

Brown's A-1 ballot position may not help her much either; there are no big-name races on the ballot that might draw marginal voters to her column.

Hackett said he expects to win as many votes as his two opponents combined, and credited his standing to the work he's done balancing the city's books and encouraging redevelopment.

"There's just so much going on within the city, positively," he said.  "So the issues we are well out in front on, so they can't campaign on those."

Among observers, though, the consensus is that all of the candidates have run unimpressive campaigns.

"It's a battle of attrition," said a Democratic strategist who knows the city well.  "Whoever wins wins by accident."

If Hackett does hold on, chalk it up to his good fortune in having two opponents and no organized opposition from DiVincenzo, according to one Democrat: "He's the luckiest guy alive.  He trips and he falls into butter.  That's the kind of guy he is."

Steve Kornacki can be reached at kornackinj@aol.com